Private equity sector witnesses increase in LBO activity

September 30, 2002

By Ketaki Sood, Larta Research Economist
Wendy Hall, Larta Staff Writer

The private equity industry has witnessed tremendous growth since 1991 and though it has recently hit a lull, there are indications that the industry is finally picking up with an increase in leveraged-buyout (LBO) activity. In quarter two of 2002, not only was there an increase in deal flow, but deal sizes increased as well. LBO firms achieved $5.5 billion in deals in the second quarter of 2002, compared with $3.9 billion in quarter one the same year, and $3.8 billion in quarter four of 2001.

The number of deals increased in the second quarter of 2002 to 52, up from 34 deals made in quarter one of 2002, with the largest number of deals being made in the manufacturing sector, followed by technology, telecommunications, and media. Although lower than the record level of investments of $77 billon in 1999, leveraged-buyout investments are showing signs of recovery and strength going into 2003.


"Part of what's going on in the private equity industry is obviously affected by the down economy," says Garrick Ahn, of Caltius Private Equity, who will be speaking at the October 8 Larta Economic Research Briefing on private equity. "When you have less people willing to loan you money, you have to put more of your own money up, and therefore the return goes down. If the banks aren't out there loaning as much, you are probably not going to get a good return, so essentially that took a lot of liquidity out of the market, which prevented many deals from happening in 2001."

In an LBO, investors buy a company with borrowed money, which can be a mix of loans and bonds, where the company's assets serves as collateral for the purchased firm. The leveraged buyout of a company with little use of the investor's own capital can result in spectacular returns. An LBO can increase firm profits by exploiting arbitrage opportunities and reducing operational inefficiencies. The opportunity for arbitrage exists when the sum of the parts of the firm are worth more than the firm itself in which case profits can be made by selling parts of the firm. Reducing operational inefficiencies within the firm by for instance restructuring or downsizing can also lead to profits. LBO's, which involve large amounts of debt financing, also result in an increase in the rate of return (return on equity) to compensate for the increased risk associated with increases in leverage. In recent years, skyrocketing share prices kept LBO'S out of large corporate acquisitions, which were financed by equity rather than debt, limiting LBO sponsors to small companies and divisions. Even when share prices fell once the recession set in, the pessimistic economic climate dissuaded banks from providing loans for LBO's, with lower chances that debt repayment would come from company profits. For investors who were used to putting up less cash and borrowing more in an acquisition, raising funds became more and more difficult. Buyers were unable to come up with sufficient equity and with banks hesitant to finance such deals via loans, things didn't look good for the LBO market. Recently, however, the deal market has made a comeback with dollar volume of deals surging to $15.7 billion towards 109 deals that have been completed or announced this year, compared with 138 deals totaling $9.3 billion in the same period last year, according to Thomson Financial.

While U.S banks are wary of providing cash for LBO's, money for such transactions is coming in from outside the country, with banks overseas trying to cash in on expanding their businesses in the United States. Furthermore, as deal sizes grow, investors are turning to the junk bond market to finance their LBO's, a method that was adopted widely in the 1980's in the takeover of several corporate giants. Just last week, a $268 million dollar junk bond sale by ConAgra Foods Inc. unit Swift & Co. constituted the financing of the $1.4 billion leveraged buyout of the company. Transactions such as these are expected to increase as the high-yield junk bond market strengthens and opens up. In a deal which will be the largest since Kohlberg Kravis Roberts & Co.'s $31.4 billon buyout of RJ Reynolds Nabisco in 1989, Qwest Communications International Inc.'s phone book unit QwestDex plans to sell up to $1 billion of junk bonds to help finance its $7.05 billion takeover by two buyout firms.

Despite lean times, LBO sponsors are working together so that they can work on bigger deals and with financially constrained companies putting out their assets at low prices, and conglomerates selling off their weaker divisions, there is ample opportunity in the LBO market.

While deal flow is showing signs of picking up, the buyout fund raising market declined for the second consecutive quarter, failing to raise even $5 billion in new capital, which the industry had surpassed every quarter from mid-1996 to the end of 2001. By the end of June this year, buyout funds raised a total of $2.2 billion, $2 billion short of the $4.3 billion raised in the first quarter of 2002, and well below the $8 billion raised in the fourth quarter of 2001. With a decline in investments, private equity firms are stocked with plenty of capital. LBO and venture capital firms raised funds that exceeded investments by $51 billion in 2001, increasing the amount of capital sitting idle to $180 billion.

Investors don't have any incentive to invest in new buyout vehicles as the money they have already invested is yet to be put to use. There will soon be pressure from investors on buyout funds to make investments or return capital.


October 8: Larta Economic Research Briefing, Future of the Private Equity Industry
Larta's Economic Research Briefings are high-level luncheon events drawing on financial executives and major investors from the region's capital markets. Attendees gain insight/industry intelligence from leading authorities on a wide variety of significant and dynamic industries. Briefings will occur monthly at Larta's offices. The first briefing, Future of the Private Equity Industry, will take place on October 8.
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