No Simple Plan

June 03, 2002

In the aftermath of so many across-the-board tech-based failures, the challenge of creating an executable business plan has assumed greater importance. Company strategies should be designed not onlyfor profitability and growth, but to weather increasing economic uncertainties.

The false promises of the "new economy," which facilitated a vast field of startups, stratospheric valuations, careless corporate adventurism and an unsustainable frenzy of speculation, has been flogged to death. Recently, however, established technology corporations, and their practicing CEOs, have also endured the brunt of a backlash leading to a decline of employee and shareholder faith in their decisions. Even though 20/20 hindsight and unhelpful cynicism is now widespread, the sting of disillusionment still smarts. Investors are (understandably) seized with cold feet, and startup companies will have to prove a stronger alignment with traditional business fundamentals than ever not only to attract investors, but to build long-lasting businesses.

Business plan and business vision are two terms which often become blurred. Vision is more akin to inspiration. In the context of the current marketplace this can be vaporous if not supported by robust market research. This is not to say that the business visions are not necessary - far from it. But it does mean that vision must be tempered by sober assessments of core capabilities, resources and market realities.

"The vision should be broader than just looking at marketplace (and) competition. It should be a vision of the company's place in the world and it should be big. But, it should also be realistic and attainable," says Dave Lavinsky of Growthink, a speaker at the upcoming Larta University workshop, The Business Plan, Balancing Business with Vision. "A vision has to have some milestones that can be attributed to it. Creating a vision is part of the entrepreneurial spirit. But creating a vision is the easiest part; the hard part is convincing customers and investors. In general, people don't want to change for the sake of changing, particularly for someone that's been burned before, which is the reason it's so hard to raise capital right now …the investors have gotten a lot more shrewder, as have customers."

Yet obtaining customers is only the first part of the difficulty. It is keeping the clients and creating loyalty that eluded many of the heavily-funded e-commerce businesses, such as eToys. That dot com pulled in a considerable amount of new customers, yet failed to hold interest. A mechanism must be in place in a business plan not only to assure customer acquisition, but to build on, to sustain those relationships.

Because of the difficulty in raising capital, startup companies are too often finding themselves in agreements that are giving investors a disproportionate amount of leverage. With less checks being written, entrepreneurs with brilliant ideas (but no revenue) have had to forsake a large percentage of their company's equity to attract that crucial first round of investor capital. This puts entrepreneurs too frequently at the mercy of investors. Business plans should therefore have dual objectives--one with a strategy based upon attracting capital, and one without.

"Entrepreneurs without a track record almost always underestimate their challenges," says Eli Eisenberg of Straight Line Management, also a speaker at the Larta U business plan workshop. "What happens when planning is a lot of companies will say we need this and that, and get into a mindset of 'I can conquer anything, I can grow anything that I want.' The result? They get into a structure that is unmanageable. Companies need to say, 'we're going to be under-managed and understaffed, and sell as much as we can' and put the infrastructure in place that way. Now maybe they won't grow as fast as they could, but their cash flow hasn't had to evaporate, and more importantly, they're still in control of their own destiny instead of depending on VCs."

After matching innovation and vision with market research which supports that vision, entrepreneurs can focus on creating an execution strategy. Yet no matter how strong the market is (or appears to be), that is not the fixed point from which a business plan should be designed. There are two parallel influences that must be consistently considered--the internal (the company, production, employees, management, growth), as well as the external (fluctuating marketplace, customer demand and lack thereof, competition, economic conditions). Often when a business is growing, external and internal forces don't synchronize (a 'left hand vs. right hand' situation), and companies can suffer unforeseen damage.

"A startup could sell everything it can possibly make, and the market could turn out to be there, but these external factors do not provide a limitation (in its planning)," says Eisenberg. "Internally, you have to put an organization in place, and have processes to guarantee stability during growth. Growth in and of itself is difficult, and there are practical limitations to how a company can grow and maintain a semblance of profitability."

by Wendy Hall
Larta Staff Writer


Rohit Shukla
Larta CEO



Larta University Session #2 on June 19 and 20: The Business Plan, Balancing Business with Vision
This session covers all phases of business plan development including: identifying the objectives for a plan, understanding what investors look for in a plan, tailoring strategies for a specific market and economic context, the value proposition, and addressing the various elements of the business plan.
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